Villanova
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 86.4736Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 15- 6 214 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 5-18 217 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 13- 9 221 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 12-15 228 A Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 15- 7 304 A Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 11- 5 306 A Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 14-12 317 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 10-18 321 H Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 14- 8 328 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 9- 8 401 A Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 10- 8 404 A Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 9-16 411 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 5-14 418 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 8- 9 425 A Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 18- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
209 H Towson 15- 6 9 4 ++ 5.26
214 A Navy 5-18 -13 -8 -- -5.08
217 H St Josephs (PA) 13- 9 4 4 -0.23
221 H Rutgers 12-15 -3 -3 0.04
228 A Binghamton 15- 7 8 5 + 2.90
304 A Siena 11- 5 6 3 + 2.78
306 A Vermont 14-12 2 2 0.13
317 H Stony Brook 10-18 -8 -6 - -2.13
321 H Xavier 14- 8 6 11 -- -4.86
328 H Stanford 9- 8 1 -8 +++ 9.08
401 A Connecticut 10- 8 2 0 + 2.20
404 A Marquette 9-16 -7 -1 --- -6.11
411 H Denver 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.06
418 H Georgetown 8- 9 -1 -2 1.12
425 A Butler 18- 9 9 11 - -2.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Marquette 9-16 -7 -1 --- -6.11 214 A Navy 5-18 -13 -8 -- -5.08 321 H Xavier 14- 8 6 11 -- -4.86 317 H Stony Brook 10-18 -8 -6 - -2.13 411 H Denver 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.06 425 A Butler 18- 9 9 11 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Stanford 9- 8 1 -8 +++ 9.08 209 H Towson 15- 6 9 4 ++ 5.26 228 A Binghamton 15- 7 8 5 + 2.90 304 A Siena 11- 5 6 3 + 2.78 401 A Connecticut 10- 8 2 0 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 15- 6 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 1.15 53.13
3 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 5-18 -6.87 33.29 1.37 1.15 -3.18
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 13- 9 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.15 51.99
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 12-15 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 1.15 -6.00
3 A Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 15- 7 -19.89 20.27 1.37 1.15 49.99
3 A Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 11- 5 -18.01 22.16 1.37 1.15 54.33
3 A Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 14-12 -16.66 23.51 1.37 1.15 57.46
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 10-18 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 1.15 -4.36
3 H Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 14- 8 -22.92 17.25 -1.37 1.15 36.68
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 9- 8 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 1.15 80.42
3 A Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 10- 8 -14.59 25.58 1.37 1.15 62.24
3 A Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 9-16 -13.90 26.27 1.37 1.15 -7.24
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 5-14 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 1.15 -4.32
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 8- 9 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 1.15 -6.53
3 A Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 18- 9 -25.84 14.33 1.37 1.15 36.26
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450.85
|
winning pts = 482.4836 losing points = -31.6286
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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